Exploring Determinants of School Dropouts in India: Insights from a Survival Analysis

Wednesday, 9 July 2025: 00:00
Location: SJES028 (Faculty of Legal, Economic, and Social Sciences (JES))
Oral Presentation
Rayhan RAHMAN, University of Mumbai, India
The present study investigates the risk of school dropouts in India using a retrospective approach and applying the Cox proportional hazards model. Utilizing data from the 75th round of the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO), the findings reveal that approximately 74% of individuals aged 18 years and older have dropped out of school before reaching the 12th standard. The survival analysis provides compelling evidence that factors such as caste, wealth quintile, type of institution, and regional disparities significantly influence school dropout rates in India.
Key reasons for dropping out include a lack of interest in education, distance from school, difficulties in coping with studies or experiencing academic failure, and financial constraints. Notably, the lack of interest in education and academic challenges are closely linked to the quality of education, while financial issues and school accessibility highlight shortcomings in public school delivery in India. Among the female population, marriage emerges as a significant factor contributing to school attrition.
This study emphasizes the need for improved school infrastructure and the provision of quality, affordable, and accessible education to enhance enrollment rates at higher educational levels. Furthermore, it recommends the implementation of school-based programs aimed at preventing early marriage among females to reduce the risk of increased dropout rates.