JS-83.7
The Role of Population Policies in Fertility Decline: A Comparative Analysis of Lowered Birth Rates in Peoples Republic of China, the Republic of Korea, Japan and the United States

Saturday, July 19, 2014: 11:42 AM
Room: 304
Oral Presentation
Byoung Mohk CHOI , Dept. of Social Welfare, Far East University, South Korea
Kooros MAHMOUDI , Northern Arizona University, AZ
This paper examines the rates of the decline of fertility in China,  Korea, Japan and the United States in light of the countries respective population policies.  Specifically, the authors, using a sample of young students from one medium size city in rural surroundings in each country, gauge students opinions on their desired number of children in the contexts of ideally, likely, and realistically number of children desired.
Students are currently enrolled in primary schools, middle schools, high schools, and universities in the four communities. The data also touch upon the students current family size, parents family size, families Socio-Economic Status (SES), Parents occupations, educational levels, as well as parents place of birth. 
At the core of this study is the assumption that population policies have indeed affected the size of the current families, thus the observed declining birth rates in the respective countries. Moreover, the authors suggest that the effect of the population policies upon the next generation of parents could be ascertained by measuring their attitudes regarding the expected number of children as reflected in their responses to the notions of ideal, likely, and realistic number of children envisioned for themselves.
Our data suggest a direct relationship between the respondents expectedfamily size and the current Total Fertility Rates (TFR) observed in the respective countries. The socio-economic impact of our findings with some surprising results will be discussed as well.